Oxford Martin report urges Europe to build an AGI preparedness plan for geopolitical competition

A report calls for a Europe-wide AGI preparedness effort to address possible economic, security and international governance consequences.

18 Dec 2025AcademiaOxford Martin AI Governance Initiative ↗

Summary

The report considers the possibility that AGI could arrive between 2030 and 2040, or sooner, while emphasizing significant uncertainty. It defines AGI as systems able to equal or surpass people across most economically valuable cognitive tasks. Such systems could alter growth, military capacity and international stability, while increasing competition and coercion among countries. It finds that European institutions have uneven awareness and limited leverage in the AI value chain. The report recommends an AGI Preparedness Report led by a politically and technically credible figure and expert team.